Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1254.895743 1422.585752 1607.791781 1828.098722 2083.767140 2372.012858 2722.835168
2025-10-26 994.760074 1217.188791 1485.417597 1835.179545 2282.827875 2841.395594 3598.713747
2025-11-02 869.094031 1119.658163 1440.464402 1886.390993 2498.202182 3319.918780 4527.156736
2025-11-09 777.361476 1043.277302 1400.436725 1923.328131 2683.047689 3768.351151 5476.089740
2025-11-16 704.369350 978.454479 1361.839915 1948.694864 2844.933354 4196.891099 6459.322087
2025-11-23 645.274931 923.799011 1327.561503 1970.589048 2997.666761 4625.784609 7510.095847
2025-11-30 600.436806 883.495258 1307.446085 2007.773109 3174.160376 5111.710439 8736.598640
2025-12-07 541.347530 814.784866 1235.565021 1952.250436 3188.805008 5326.624800 9519.300117
2025-12-14 490.659677 753.744163 1168.652420 1895.365846 3190.687505 5514.819694 10279.574745
2025-12-21 444.856641 696.040808 1101.040661 1828.618491 3164.632795 5645.270262 10945.530939
2025-12-28 429.116058 685.634914 1109.856217 1894.604402 3386.327937 6269.648906 12740.247627
2026-01-04 408.397862 664.850332 1098.701173 1922.735392 3539.193141 6780.972063 14395.315406
2026-01-11 385.972080 639.764719 1078.642912 1933.921396 3664.216317 7263.190104 16111.019522
2026-01-18 365.001725 615.500455 1057.885492 1941.620325 3783.839690 7754.985428 17969.138080
2026-01-25 352.534380 605.183534 1061.242554 1996.259311 4008.007306 8512.832074 20678.190523
2026-02-01 339.060415 591.799748 1057.441458 2035.680189 4204.374297 9240.390843 23496.006688
2026-02-08 325.166577 576.430840 1048.315244 2062.756827 4376.600977 9940.147130 26424.911039
2026-02-15 311.956338 561.252862 1038.096318 2086.129594 4543.285502 10655.608437 29600.953457
2026-02-22 301.496667 550.504251 1035.612040 2125.830578 4754.200769 11523.484750 33505.541723
2026-03-01 281.759893 520.125613 990.870978 2066.552346 4714.762409 11716.646650 35277.841570
2026-03-08 263.503930 491.447220 947.417351 2005.837040 4663.884736 11870.338008 36966.036132
2026-03-15 245.690584 462.513842 901.323285 1934.617263 4577.297105 11909.736147 38271.342822
2026-03-22 241.851240 461.757092 914.749221 2005.024436 4872.487944 13117.992530 44274.245581